Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Rashod Bateman from EV Insight

Rashod BatemanReceiving Yards

Right now, Rashod Bateman’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-105) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Rashod Bateman to notch 7.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
Rashod Bateman has posted many more air yards this season (70.0 per game) than he did last season (52.0 per game).
Rashod Bateman’s 53.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 36.2.

Cons

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 54.1 plays per game.
Rashod Bateman’s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.5% to 56.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60%) versus WRs this year (60.0%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. WRs this year, giving up 6.82 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
55
Receiving Yards