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Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rachaad White from EV Insight

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Rachaad White

Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 8

Bills vs. Buccaneers

Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (+106/-145).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-145) after it opened @ 49.5 (-113).

Pros

  • The Buccaneers feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The projections expect Rachaad White to total 14.1 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • After comprising 33.7% of his team’s carries last season, Rachaad White has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently comprising 56.2%.
  • Rachaad White has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (44.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 5.22 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons

  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are massive underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 38.6% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.

Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards

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