Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Nick Chubb from EV Insight

Nick ChubbRushing Yards

Right now, Nick Chubb’s rushing yards prop is set at 82.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 82.5 (-115) after it opened @ 83.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-most run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 42.7% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to accrue 16.9 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has received 60.9% of his team’s rush attempts this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Nick Chubb has rushed for a lot more yards per game (106.0) this year than he did last year (86.0).

Cons

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
78
Rushing Yards