Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh JacobsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Lions vs. Raiders
Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-114).
Pros
- In this week’s contest, Josh Jacobs is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 16.5 carries.
- Josh Jacobs has earned 78.9% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- When it comes to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Raiders ranks as the 3rd-best in football last year.
Cons
- The Las Vegas Raiders may rely on the pass game less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brian Hoyer.
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a massive -7-point underdog this week.
- The model projects the Raiders as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Josh Jacobs’s 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year shows an impressive drop-off in his rushing talent over last year’s 100.0 mark.
- The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 72.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards
72
Rushing Yards
