Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Derrick Henry from EV Insight

Derrick HenryRushing Yards

Right now, Derrick Henry’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-114).

Pros

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tennessee Titans to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 3rd-highest clip among all teams this week.
In this game, Derrick Henry is projected by the model to slot into the 97th percentile among RBs with 18.9 carries.

Cons

The model projects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 1.9% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 60.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
Derrick Henry’s 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a noteable drop-off in his running ability over last season’s 91.0 mark.
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 95.0 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards