Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Darrell Henderson from EV Insight

Darrell HendersonRushing Yards

Right now, Darrell Henderson’s rushing yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (+105) after it opened @ 42.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be much more involved in his offense’s running game this week (51.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.0% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 2nd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 33.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has run for substantially fewer yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (54.0).
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 90 per game) vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
45
Rushing Yards