Week 8 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Onta Foreman from EV Insight

D’Onta ForemanRushing Yards

Right now, D’Onta Foreman’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-105/-125).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 66.5 (-125) after it opened @ 72.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects D’Onta Foreman to notch 15.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects D’Onta Foreman to be a more important option in his team’s running game this week (63.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).
D’Onta Foreman’s rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.04 yards-per-carry vs just 4.21 mark last year.
The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Cons

The Carolina Panthers will be starting backup QB PJ Walker in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to run the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards