Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Lockett from EV Insight

Tyler LockettReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Lockett’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.8 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
The leading projections forecast Tyler Lockett to accrue 7.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
With an exceptional 22.8% Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett ranks as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

Cons

A running game script is implied by the Seahawks being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (just 56.3 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: fewest in football.
Tyler Lockett’s 50.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 65.0 rate.
Tyler Lockett’s 70.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteworthy reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 75.8% figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
61
Receiving Yards