Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Michael MayerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 8
Lions vs. Raiders
Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (+106/-137).
The public has bet the OVER up to 29.5 (+106) after it opened @ 21.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Las Vegas Raiders may rely on the pass game less in this game (and hand the ball off more) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brian Hoyer.
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a massive -7-point underdog this week.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
- Michael Mayer checks in as one of the top tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a fantastic 6.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Cons
- Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are expected by the projection model to call only 60.7 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
- The Raiders have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 54.4 plays per game.
Projection
THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards
28
Receiving Yards
