NFL

Bets

October 27, 2023

Week 8 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

FTN Staff

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-115) after it opened @ 40.5 (-110).

Pros

The model projects the Titans offensive scheme to skew 1.9% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.
In this week’s contest, DeAndre Hopkins is predicted by the projections to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.
With a sizeable 28.6% Target Share (94th percentile) this year, DeAndre Hopkins rates as one of the WRs with the most usage in football.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Titans to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are projected by our trusted projection set to call just 60.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 52.0 per game on average).
DeAndre Hopkins has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 122.0) vs. wideouts this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
53
Receiving Yards