Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
The FTN team uses Adam Pfeifer’s Week 8 Fantasy Football Game by Game Breakdown to identify some of the key player props to bet on in this week’s Broncos/Jaguars game.
In the London game this week, the Broncos will take on the Jaguars in a matchup that could likely determine which way each franchise will go the rest of the way. Both teams are desperate for a win. It appears Russ Wilson will be back under center for the Broncos and is ready to roll after announcing he completed four hours of high knees on the flight there.
Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Bets
Russell Wilson, QB, Denver Broncos
“With Russell Wilson (hamstring) sidelined last week, Denver turned to Brett Rypien against the Jets. The results weren’t anything special, as he completed 24-of-46 passes for 225 yards and an interception.”
Pick: Wilson Over 224.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Quite frankly, this is an instinct play on Russell Wilson and the Denver offense find a little bit of a rhythm against a bad Jaguars defense. The Jaguars have a bottom team total yardage passing defense in the league. Russ has struggled all year and is coming off an injury. The London game always brings weird gamelines out. I would take this and even look at getting value at over 250 yards at +205 on DraftKings Spotrsbook.
Jerry Jeudy, WR, Denver Broncos
“In Rypien’s first start of the season, it was Jerry Jeudy, not Courtland Sutton, who operated as Denver’s leading receiver. He was targeted on Rypien’s first four pass attempts, ultimately finishing the game with a team-high 11 targets, catching seven balls for 96 yards. Rypien appears more willing to target the middle of the field, which would help Jeudy, who is lining up out of the slot 69.5% of the time, the 16th-highest rate among qualified wide receivers.”
Pick: Jeudy Over 3.5 Receptions (-150)
Jerry Jeudy is finding his stride this season. He had 7 receptions on 11 targets with backup QB Brett Rypien last week against the Jets. There were rumors that Jeudy was going to be traded, however that does not seem to be occurring before this game. With Wilson back, I see Jeudy’s target total staying close to that 10 mark which means he should easily clear the 3.5 receptions. I am also anticipating a big game from Russ against a bad Jaguars secondary so this follows that game script. By most perception, Jeudy is considered to be having a “down year” and he has cleared at least 3 receptions in every game except 2.
Greg Dulcich, TE, Denver Broncos
“With Greg Dulcich active again, Albert Okwuegbunam was a healthy scratch for the second consecutive week. Dulcich logged 59% of the snaps on Sunday, while catching six passes for 51 yards. The rookie was targeted nine times, as Rypien relied on him in the short areas of the field. Dulcich ran a route on about 71% of dropbacks and is firmly on the streaming radar going forward.”
Pick: Dulcich Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
As you can tell, I am very high on the Broncos this week in London. I think the talent difference is huge, especially the Broncos offense compared to the Jaguars defense. I am very confident Russ and the passing game get on track and get a win. Greg Dulcich has been a solid contributor in the passing game since his first game this year against the Chargers. In two games played this year, he has 8 receptions on 12 targets for 95 yards and a touchdown. It is clear Denver coaches believe he can be a difference maker in the passing game and are making it a priority to get him the ball.
