Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for JuJu Smith-Schuster from EV Insight

JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards

Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-113/-121).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-121) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (69.7%).
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 6.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among WRs.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has posted significantly more receiving yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (23.0).

Cons

The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 136.0) vs. WRs this year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.51 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards