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Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 7

Cardinals vs. Saints

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-150/+115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-150) after it opened @ 58.5 (-114).

Pros

  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 68.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • DeAndre Hopkins has run a route on 95.1% of his offense’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 98th percentile among wideouts.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (171.0) to wideouts this year.
Cons

  • DeAndre Hopkins has been among the worst wideouts in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards

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