Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 32.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 32.5 (-110) after it opened @ 31.5 (-110).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 66.0 per game on average).
This week, David Njoku is anticipated by the model to finish in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.7 targets.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Browns grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (62.0) versus TEs this year.

Cons

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely creating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
David Njoku has been a much smaller piece of his team’s passing game this year (14.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (20.3%).
David Njoku has accumulated significantly fewer air yards this season (15.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
David Njoku has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (32.0) this season than he did last season (50.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
36
Receiving Yards