Week 7 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cooper Kupp from EV Insight

Cooper KuppReceiving Yards

Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 89.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 89.5 (-110) after it opened @ 90.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Rams as the 5th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
As far as a defense’s effect on tempo, the Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed opposing teams to play 10th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) this year at 27.01 seconds per snap.
Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased pass volume, and lower run volume.
The predictive model expects Cooper Kupp to notch 12.3 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been gouged for the 5th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (192.0) to wide receivers this year.

Cons

This week’s line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
Cooper Kupp’s possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 76.4% to 65.5%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) versus WRs this year (62.8%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
107
Receiving Yards