Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Miles Sanders from EV Insight

Miles SandersRushing Yards

Right now, Miles Sanders’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 65.5 (-110) after it opened @ 62.5 (-120).

Pros

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to notch 16.7 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

Cons

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have gone up against a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
73
Rushing Yards