College Football Props of the Week: Week 4
Walter Waddell
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Giants vs. Ravens
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 72.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 72.5 (-110) after it opened @ 67.5 (-115).
Pros
- The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 10.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.
- Mark Andrews has been a more integral piece of his offense’s pass game this year (34.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.6%).
- Mark Andrews has put up a colossal 97.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
- The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
Cons
- The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Receiving Yards
86
Receiving Yards
