Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 59.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Cons

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards