Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 59.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.
Cons
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Arizona Cardinals safeties rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year with their run defense.
- The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
- The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards
75
Rushing Yards
