Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Eno BenjaminRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Right now, Eno Benjamin’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-120).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
- THE BLITZ projects Eno Benjamin to earn 14.7 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
- THE BLITZ projects Eno Benjamin to be a more important option in his offense’s rushing attack this week (53.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.3% in games he has played).
- Eno Benjamin has rushed for a lot more yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
- Eno Benjamin’s ground effectiveness has gotten better this year, notching 4.42 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.45 figure last year.
Cons
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Arizona Cardinals have utilized some form of misdirection on just 34.3% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Rushing Yards
63
Rushing Yards
