Week 6 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Austin Ekeler from EV Insight

Austin EkelerRushing Yards

Right now, Austin Ekeler’s rushing yards prop is set at 57.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 57.5 (-131) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).

Pros

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Ekeler to notch 13.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.
Austin Ekeler has garnered 55.0% of his team’s rush attempts this year, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Los Angeles Chargers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards