Week 6 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Daniel Bellinger from EV Insight

Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards

Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 20.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 20.5 (-110) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (65.0) vs. TEs this year.

Cons

The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 10th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The New York Giants offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards