Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Zach Wilson from EV Insight

Zach WilsonPassing Yards

Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (+102/-139).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 215.5 (-139) after it opened @ 219.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Zach Wilson’s pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, averaging 7.40 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.19 figure last year.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in the league against the Green Bay Packers defense this year (78.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Zach Wilson has been among the weakest passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging 186.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
Zach Wilson has been among the worst precision passers in football this year with a 58.5% Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards