Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Zach WilsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Packers vs. Jets
Right now, Zach Wilson’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (+102/-139).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 215.5 (-139) after it opened @ 219.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Jets are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
- Zach Wilson’s pass-game effectiveness has been refined this year, averaging 7.40 yards-per-target compared to a mere 6.19 figure last year.
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest rate in the league against the Green Bay Packers defense this year (78.8%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
- The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
- Zach Wilson has been among the weakest passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging 186.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
- Zach Wilson has been among the worst precision passers in football this year with a 58.5% Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
216
Passing Yards
216
Passing Yards
