Week 6 Player Props: Passing Yards for Daniel Jones from EV Insight

Daniel JonesPassing Yards

Right now, Daniel Jones’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the OVER up to 205.5 (+100) after it opened @ 202.5 (-115).

Pros

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Daniel Jones has been among the best precision passers in the NFL this year with a stellar 67.3% Completion%, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Cons

The Giants have been the 6th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 34.4 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Daniel Jones has thrown for substantially fewer yards per game (175.0) this season than he did last season (218.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
251
Passing Yards