We’re back again with our favorite player props of the week. As we gear up for the Sunday action of Week 6, I’ve got some bets I’m eying.
Here are some of my favorite individual player props for Week 6.
Daniel Jones Over 35.5 Rushing Yards
-110, FanDuel Sportsbook
Remember before the season started when people were talking about Brian Daboll turning Daniel Jones into Josh Allen? While that’s never going to happen, it’s good to see this new coaching staff really take advantage of his mobility. Through five weeks, Jones is currently third in the NFL among rushing quarterbacks, averaging 46.0 rush yards per game.
With the Ravens getting Tyus Bowser and David Ojabo, their pass rush should be even stronger than it was previously. The Giants currently have the No. 25 pass protection unit in the NFL, which should force Jones to rely more on his legs to escape the pressure. Saquon Barkley has gotten off to a phenomenal start, but he does have a tough matchup against that Ravens interior defense. While his volume should still be good, I expect to see Jones’ mobility used keeping defenses off their toes.
If I were an NFL coach, using a lot of play action would be mandatory, and it’s good to see the Giants adopting that strategy as well. Jones and the Giants currently rank fourth in play action percentage, getting him to the outside and moving the pocket should be beneficial for this bet. I think this may be the games where the Giants bubble bursts, and playing from behind should also help Jones get some additional rushing looks.
Darrell Henderson Over 50 Rushing Yards
Jeff Wilson Over 50 Rushing Yards
Parlay, +112, FanDuel Sportsbook
These two running backs actually have a lot of common. Both started out the season as the presumed backup but are now being featured as the primary backs on their respective teams. Both backs are on teams that are favored to win, which means we are very likely to see run-heavy game environments.
Let’s start with Jeff Wilson, who is having an amazing start to the season with the 49ers. Atlanta hasn’t been able to stop the run this season, currently ranking 30th in EPA per rush, and now get a 49ers team who would love to throw the ball less than 10 times per game if they could. Wilson has soared over 50 yards every game in the starting lineup this season, including breaking off a 35-yard gain in each of his last three games. While Tevin Coleman made an appearance last week, Wilson still carried the ball 17 times, I’m expecting similar volume this week.
Darrell Henderson has found himself in quite a nice situation, with Cam Akers mysteriously not playing this week. While it seems like the Rams will be searching for a trade, Henderson should now have the chance to command this backfield. In 20 games with at least 10 carries, Henderson is averaging 4.49 yards per carry. While receiving yards is what you normally think of with Henderson, the gamescript likely sets up much better for rushing. The Rams are 10-point favorites coming in and will likely be playing from ahead most of this game. While they have played below expectation, I highly doubt the PJ Walker-led Panthers are going to be able to slow them down. Malcolm Brown is still lingering around, but it seems like Henderson is in a position to handle 60% or more of the Rams carries.