NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Clyde Edwards-HelaireRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Right now, Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s rushing yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 45.5 (-125) after it opened @ 48.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Chiefs are an enormous 7-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for many more yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s running effectiveness has gotten better this year, averaging 5.23 yards-per-carry compared to a measly 4.12 mark last year.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been more successful in grinding out extra rushing yardage this year, totaling 3.79 yards-after-contact vs a 2.39 rate last year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been much less involved in his offense’s running game this year (48.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (59.5%).
- The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 8th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
- The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
44
Rushing Yards
44
Rushing Yards
