Week 5 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Luke Musgrave from EV Insight

Luke MusgraveReceiving Yards

Right now, Luke Musgrave’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-124/-106).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 29.5 (-106) after it opened @ 31.5 (-114).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.8% pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The leading projections forecast Luke Musgrave to accrue 5.3 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among TEs.
In regards to air yards, Luke Musgrave grades out in the towering 90th percentile among tight ends this year, accumulating an astounding 40.0 per game.
With a remarkable 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave ranks among the top pass-game TEs in the league.

Cons

The projections expect the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 52.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: fewest in football.
The Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards