Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Rams vs. Eagles
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-121/-108).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-108) after it opened @ 61.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
- The predictive model expects the Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in football (context-neutralized) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.
- Opposing teams have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
- With a remarkable 84.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (96th percentile) last year, Cooper Kupp places as one of the leading WRs in the game in the league.
Cons
- While Cooper Kupp has garnered 32.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Los Angeles’s offense in this week’s game at 25.0%.
- The Rams offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
- This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.3 YAC.
Projection
THE BLITZ
73
Receiving Yards
73
Receiving Yards
