Week 5 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Josh Jacobs from EV Insight

Josh JacobsRushing Yards

Right now, Josh Jacobs’s rushing yards prop is set at 74.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 74.5 (-110) after it opened @ 72.5 (-110).

Pros

In this week’s game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the projections to place in the 98th percentile among running backs with 18.9 rush attempts.
Josh Jacobs has garnered 78.9% of his team’s carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football last year in run-blocking.
This year, the poor Green Bay Packers run defense has yielded a monstrous 157.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the most in the NFL.
As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in defending against the run, Green Bay’s unit has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to run on 39.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have only 123.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
The Raiders have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 51.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Josh Jacobs’s 40.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a an impressive decline in his rushing ability over last year’s 100.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
84
Rushing Yards