WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Andy DaltonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 5
Saints vs. Seahawks
Right now, Andy Dalton’s passing yards prop is set at 241.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 241.5 (-110) after it opened @ 243.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest rate in the league versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season (74.2%).
- The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has shown weak efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 8.41 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in the league.
Cons
- The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
- Andy Dalton has been among the worst QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 190.0 yards per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
- Andy Dalton has been among the least efficient quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 6.47 yards-per-target while ranking in the lowly 18th percentile.
- The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
Projection
THE BLITZ
286
Passing Yards
286
Passing Yards
