Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Marquise BrownReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Panthers vs. Cardinals
Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 58.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 58.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.50 seconds per play.
- THE BLITZ projects Marquise Brown to total 8.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
- Marquise Brown has put up a monstrous 106.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 98th percentile among WRs.
- Marquise Brown has been among the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 67.0 yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
- Marquise Brown’s possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 65.8% to 71.1%.
Cons
- The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week’s contest.
- Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the NFL.
- Marquise Brown has been a more important option in his team’s offense this season, playing on 94.5% of snaps compared to just 94.5% last season.
- The Carolina Panthers defense has given up the 6th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 136.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
- The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
64
Receiving Yards
64
Receiving Yards
