Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cooper KuppReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
49ers vs. Rams
Right now, Cooper Kupp’s receiving yards prop is set at 93.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 93.5 (-110) after it opened @ 91.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 64.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Cooper Kupp to earn 11.5 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.
- Cooper Kupp has compiled a whopping 98.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among wideouts.
- Cooper Kupp’s 85.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 71.9.
- The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Los Angeles Rams have called the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a mere 57.2 plays per game.
- The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most “low wind” (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense results when facing windier conditions in this week’s game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
- Cooper Kupp’s pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 8.86 yards-per-target compared to a 10.36 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
110
Receiving Yards
110
Receiving Yards
