Week 4 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 215.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 215.5 (-120) after it opened @ 215.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 37.2 passes this week, on average: the 8th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.0%).

Cons

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 69.0 yards per game while grading out in the 5th percentile.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least accurate passers in football this year with a 60.8% Completion%, checking in at the 25th percentile.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the least effective QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 5.57 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 3rd percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
258
Passing Yards