Week 3 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rashaad Penny from EV Insight

Rashaad PennyRushing Yards

Right now, Rashaad Penny’s rushing yards prop is set at 48.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 48.5 (-137) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).

Pros

Rashaad Penny has garnered 49.0% of his offense’s rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.
Rashaad Penny has grinded out 65.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (96th percentile).
Rashaad Penny’s rushing effectiveness (5.66 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (98th percentile among running backs).
Rashaad Penny has been among the best RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 4.47 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 100th percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (134 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 59.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.7 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down just 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards