Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 76.5 (-110) after it opened @ 76.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 96.8% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja’Marr Chase to earn 7.8 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.
Ja’Marr Chase has posted a colossal 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 99th percentile among WRs.
Ja’Marr Chase has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 64.0 yards per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Cons

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New York Jets pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.03 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the league.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Projection

THE BLITZ
74
Receiving Yards