Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Evan Engram has run a route on 80.6% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Evan Engram to accrue 6.9 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile among TEs.
Evan Engram has been among the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 44.0 yards per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Cons

The Jaguars are a heavy 7.5-point favorite in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (69.6%) to tight ends since the start of last season (69.6%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
44
Receiving Yards