Week 3 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Cade Otton from EV Insight

Cade OttonReceiving Yards

Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-129/-106).

The public has bet the OVER up to 27.5 (-129) after it opened @ 26.5 (-117).

Pros

The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 9.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

Cons

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
Cade Otton has been among the bottom TEs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards