WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Cade OttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Buccaneers vs. Eagles
Right now, Cade Otton’s receiving yards prop is set at 27.5 yards (-129/-106).
The public has bet the OVER up to 27.5 (-129) after it opened @ 26.5 (-117).
Pros
- The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
- The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, conceding an average of 9.53 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.
Cons
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
- THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
- Cade Otton has been among the bottom TEs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
26
Receiving Yards
26
Receiving Yards
