Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Amari CooperReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Browns vs. Titans
Right now, Amari Cooper’s receiving yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 61.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 62.0 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
- THE BLITZ projects Amari Cooper to earn 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
- Amari Cooper has totaled a whopping 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 95th percentile among WRs.
- Amari Cooper has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 70.0 yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- The Tennessee Titans cornerbacks rank as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
