Week 3 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 190.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet up the UNDER down to 190.5 (-130) after it opened @ 207.5 (-115).

Pros

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 63.9 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Mitchell Trubisky has attempted a measly 10.0 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among QBs.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the bottom QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging 53.0 yards per game while checking in at the 5th percentile.
Mitchell Trubisky has been among the worst per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging a lowly 5.33 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 6th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
187
Passing Yards