Week 21 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 86.5 yards (-125/-109).

The public has bet the OVER up to 86.5 (-125) after it opened @ 86.5 (-117).

Pros

With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s contest, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
The predictive model expects Christian McCaffrey to garner 19.4 carries in this game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
Christian McCaffrey has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (95.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).
Christian McCaffrey’s 5.6 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a remarkable growth in his rushing ability over last year’s 4.8 figure.
Christian McCaffrey profiles as one of the best RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging an impressive 3.47 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 95th percentile.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.1 plays on offense in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
95
Rushing Yards