Week 21 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards

Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 76.5 yards (-135/+105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 76.5 (-135) after it opened @ 75.5 (-115).

Pros

This week, Brandon Aiyuk is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 78.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 63.0 mark.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 73.4% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a material boost in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 68.9% rate.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 12.4 adjusted yards per target this season shows a remarkable growth in his receiving talent over last season’s 9.5 figure.
With an impressive 4.96 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (80th percentile) this year, Brandon Aiyuk places as one of the top WRs in the NFL in football in picking up extra yardage.

Cons

With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s contest, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
The predictive model expects the 49ers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.1 plays on offense in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards