Week 21 Player Props: Passing Yards for Brock Purdy

Brock PurdyPassing Yards

Right now, Brock Purdy’s passing yards prop is set at 280.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 280.5 (-110) after it opened @ 274.5 (-110).

Pros

Brock Purdy’s 265.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season reflects an impressive progression in his throwing prowess over last season’s 151.0 mark.
With a remarkable 69.0% Adjusted Completion% (100th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy ranks among the most on-target passers in the NFL.
Brock Purdy’s pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this year, accumulating 9.31 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 7.97 mark last year.

Cons

With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are overwhelmingly favored in this week’s contest, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
The predictive model expects the 49ers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.1 plays on offense in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
In this game, Brock Purdy is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 2nd-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 33.4.

Projection

THE BLITZ
296
Passing Yards