Week 20 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Cook

James CookRushing Yards

Right now, James Cook’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
In this week’s game, James Cook is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.6 carries.
After accounting for 19.1% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, James Cook has had a larger role in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at 50.4%.
James Cook has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (67.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).
As it relates to the safeties’ role in run defense, Kansas City’s collection of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 9th-least run-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.
When it comes to run support (and the ramifications it has on all run game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 6th-worst in football last year.
James Cook’s 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year conveys a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last year’s 5.8 rate.

Projection

THE BLITZ
72
Rushing Yards