Week 20 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Isiah Pacheco

Isiah PachecoRushing Yards

Right now, Isiah Pacheco’s rushing yards prop is set at 62.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

In this contest, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by the projection model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.6 carries.
Isiah Pacheco has been a much bigger part of his offense’s rushing attack this season (65.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (40.9%).
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs ranks as the best in the league last year.
Isiah Pacheco’s 72.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents a meaningful boost in his rushing prowess over last season’s 50.0 figure.
This year, the tough Buffalo Bills run defense has surrendered a measly 4.63 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 25th-best rate in the NFL.

Cons

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Projection

THE BLITZ
76
Rushing Yards