Week 20 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Christian McCaffrey

Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards

Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 95.5 yards (-123/-111).

The public has bet the OVER up to 95.5 (-123) after it opened @ 89.5 (-117).

Pros

With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their normal approach.
The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.6% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 126.5 offensive plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
Christian McCaffrey has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (95.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
Opposing teams have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (128 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

Cons

The 49ers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.5 plays per game.
Christian McCaffrey’s 82.0% snap rate this year reflects a substantial growth in his offensive usage over last year’s 71.5% figure.

Projection

THE BLITZ
94
Rushing Yards