NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Bills vs. Chiefs
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-110) after it opened @ 75.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their plays: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
- The leading projections forecast Rashee Rice to total 10.1 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
- While Rashee Rice has been responsible for 18.7% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Kansas City’s passing attack this week at 27.0%.
- The Kansas City O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
- With a remarkable 68.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (89th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs in the league.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.8 per game) this year.
- The Bills pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.05 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
- The Buffalo cornerbacks grade out as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards
85
Receiving Yards
