NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chris GodwinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 20
Lions vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Chris Godwin’s receiving yards prop is set at 64.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 64.5 (-110) after it opened @ 60.5 (-114).
Pros
- A passing game script is implied by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
- With an elite 87.5% Route Participation Rate (81st percentile) this year, Chris Godwin places as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads in the league.
- This week, Chris Godwin is anticipated by the model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.6 targets.
- The Detroit Lions pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against wideouts this year, allowing 8.85 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- Chris Godwin’s 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 71.0 figure.
- Chris Godwin’s 67.7% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching proficiency over last year’s 74.7% mark.
- The Detroit Lions pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
78
Receiving Yards
78
Receiving Yards
