Week 20 Player Props: Passing Yards for Josh Allen

Josh AllenPassing Yards

Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 228.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 228.5 (-110) after it opened @ 233.5 (-110).

Pros

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Josh Allen has been one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an outstanding 258.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Josh Allen’s 67.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive progression in his throwing accuracy over last year’s 64.2% mark.
With a terrific 7.63 adjusted yards-per-target (81st percentile) this year, Josh Allen stands among the best per-play passers in the league.

Cons

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 54.8% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Allen to attempt 34.2 passes this week, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Chiefs defense has conceded a meager 178.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 3rd-fewest in football.
The Chiefs pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.89 adjusted yards-per-target: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
231
Passing Yards