Week 2 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Leonard Fournette from EV Insight

Leonard FournetteRushing Yards

Right now, Leonard Fournette’s rushing yards prop is set at 60.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet up the OVER up to 60.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 65.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to notch 16.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Leonard Fournette has received 67.1% of his team’s rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 34.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The New Orleans Saints defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding just 3.96 yards-per-carry.
The New Orleans Saints defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards