NFL Circa Millions Picks for Week 3
Michael Cohen
Jaylen WarrenRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 2
Steelers vs. Browns
Right now, Jaylen Warren’s rushing yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 42.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Warren to accumulate 21.4 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
- THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Warren to be much more involved in his offense’s rushing attack this week (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.6% in games he has played).
- The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, yielding 5.02 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
96
Rushing Yards
96
Rushing Yards
